TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes27c100,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,999.891225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c44,193$30,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,117.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No73c35,000$25,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,55012451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c28,223$20,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,400.7176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c10,981$6,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,977.835942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No72c10,899$7,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,838.631822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Yes57c7,919$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No73c7,000$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1108359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes28c7,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9612310.6%13 W · 110 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes34c5,943$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes36c5,600$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,584650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No63c4,953$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.424634.8%16 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes37c4,516$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.1123738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No70c4,498$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,161.1229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c4,156$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.3330031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c3,908$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.8317338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes28c3,579$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.433271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed No70c3,048$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1909642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes19c2,501$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.610366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c2,400$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.9123622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes37c2,340$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.263246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe26f…1545backed Yes45c2,215$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No57c2,086$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.668538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Yes39c2,000$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No73c1,636$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.1817345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No74c1,421$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes39c1,282$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.555352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5766939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes37c1,170$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked No72c1,111$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80070%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.4330431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed Yes44c1,061$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7304537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a49…7d21backed No66c959.31$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.191816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+111.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No73c959$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0712047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes37c948.11$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6934630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes28c891.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.1934330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No61c886$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c868.29$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.2155045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes35c849.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.153455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes28c767.79$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.8114537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No65c753.35$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes46c737.89$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.891643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No73c718.22$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.235453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.291643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No44c708.55$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.331945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed No56c706.39$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.193145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes44c702.41$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes22c668.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes50c635.47$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.473520%7 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes16c625$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No55c566.34$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No74c552.6$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6826330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93d1…9daebacked Yes28c537.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+84.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes28c513.46$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1612535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes20c479.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.015431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes32c465$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.74544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes28c464.96$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.778554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Yes44c460.49$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.19933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9041…09b7backed Yes38c457.06$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.541353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c441.79$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.922959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes34c436.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.145950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No72c413.86$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6917048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c387.04$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No74c385.14$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…017cbacked Yes68c385.05$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.954052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.143818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe958…559ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No72c351.39$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.852638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.831346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes29c345.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.561747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e3…6396backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+57.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No59c332.13$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.815238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No64c331$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8423751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No34c325.49$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.383925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes38c321.01$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.351,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes47c319.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.361250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No62c316.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.829633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked Yes28c305.31$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.311540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed No72c301.39$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21918128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes23c295.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.245532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Yes28c288.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0812525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670f…1439backed Yes36c288.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+141.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.787842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No73c272$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.567247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed No54c270.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1463946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c252.68$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8728754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.