TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc701…f932backed Yes30c3,999$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c3,577$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.1635942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes20c3,453$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No36c2,649$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.1429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c2,292$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.313,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c2,080$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes28c2,017$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.523622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No71c1,999$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.744669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes71c1,808$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.361,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes56c1,309$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.9423738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes69c1,087$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…4c39backed Yes29c946.93$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes46c877.34$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf3…6052backed No71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce53…8883backed Yes8c808.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes69c754$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.743455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes10c737.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.375127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes34c690.35$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.225352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No42c671.15$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No70c667.1$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1317048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ec…744bbacked No71c621.13$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No78c531$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1322959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes80c527.21$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.774930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes49c510.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38e…397bbacked Yes39c510.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes39c502.22$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.461,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed No69c441.42$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.842722.2%6 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Yes66c434.66$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No33c409.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.9825954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No46c402.47$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.368538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes11c395.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.413925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No64c359.92$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2236939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…4b6ebacked Yes30c330.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes31c323.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes48c308.42$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.216737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No71c308.03$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.332142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Yes49c299.24$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.81145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfa…d05cbacked No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No59c269.81$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6252…495dbacked Yes80c260.71$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.03812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes18c203.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30dd…e2f4backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No57c190.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.195238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes28c189.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533813.2%5 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c186.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes46c174$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6521837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No62c167.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.831952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdb…62e0backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4099…a6efbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes48c155.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.623033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Yes65c155.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3111440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c152$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.630031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No62c144.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6413131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No71c139.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5110550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3322650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes30c132.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae4e…67e2backed Yes31c100.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x248a…e4c5backed Yes37c94.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c89.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.961,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf5…149bbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943d…7aa1backed Yes30c82.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1678927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c69.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204520%9 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6748backed Yes68c67.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.691471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8487…dd9fbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes38c66.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.469633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Yes31c65.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013756.9%78 W · 59 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8915…1b98backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.84753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes66c58.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.464740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes30c56.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.053246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes32c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.544839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6417338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked No74c51.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.664751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes29c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2718150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes70c49.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.876243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d3…3d7abacked No80c47.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.573043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed Yes44c45.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Yes68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes31c41.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…d4ecbacked No71c40.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed No72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.815144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c29.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.713538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes41c29.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.021735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.