TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes42c12,095$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.7516331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c6,717$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No53c5,875$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.3528133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes47c5,505$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.2519038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9612451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No57c4,999$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.738359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c4,701$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.4635942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c3,521$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.3476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c3,081$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.230031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No56c2,984$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.7913953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No58c2,758$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.4711354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29e4…252fbacked No55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes47c2,698$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2684346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No54c2,530$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.85745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92021140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c1,957$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.3917338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed No55c1,824$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes29c1,734$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes30c1,590$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0534630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes33c1,202$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes46c1,019$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7417345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes25c967.32$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9234330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ec…4900backed Yes39c880$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes42c864.33$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0217048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No58c805.4$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes25c784.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c712$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9321837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No56c699.98$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9922749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No53c699.97$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.9811444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe26f…1545backed No74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c670.24$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2631945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No71c624.83$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26413826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe923…0779backed Yes44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c552.16$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.931,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed No58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8521444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22014040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No55c457.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.87135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes17c457.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.054112.2%5 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9112…c8bbbacked Yes23c454.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.141040%4 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cd9…e8f3backed Yes47c426.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c422.37$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes23c418.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes16c406.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.992839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006229%18 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8c…ef09backed Yes46c399.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes32c373.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes19c361.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.493925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f9…681dbacked No58c345.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes44c344.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.415453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcee9…5cd5backed Yes44c341.37$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcace…f2f6backed Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…27b1backed Yes24c303.88$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.93650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5613…10c9backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes34c295.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.954839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes43c288$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.841050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad64…65efbacked Yes42c286.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes47c278.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.844634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes45c269.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.195154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed No58c259.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No53c259.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8910033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.510535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes44c228.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes44c227.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes44c225.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes27c222.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0313131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes44c220.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.841747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.368949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes23c212.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No65c202.89$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3123738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+75.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810939.4%43 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30dd…e2f4backed Yes34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes29c199.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9524837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4099…a6efbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes29c182.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.