TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$770,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$759,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed No64c211,228$134,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,385.16857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes37c150,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,999.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Yes36c83,616$30,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,437.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No63c76,448$47,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,638.396240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c33,587$13,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,796.216,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82c2…4b27backed Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf871…48c7backed Yes0c27,770$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes66c22,846$15,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,147.711163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c15,947$5,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.432,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c13,166$5,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,936.634,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No62c12,596$7,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,788.3717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes38c12,366$4,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,717.288345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e57…a116backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c0…807abacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No61c9,960$6,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,884.384742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c9,745$5,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.5196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No61c8,741$5,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.033050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No34c8,514$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,658.4742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c8,132$5,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.811,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes38c7,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6409256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes34c6,683$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.862,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes39c6,655$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.355345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes36c6,632$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.6330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes36c6,329$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.7439555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes76c5,795$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.179660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No44c5,628$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.2615470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No68c5,549$3,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.553234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes36c5,474$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97027552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No64c5,156$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.1685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No2c4,684$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,590.618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes39c3,241$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.9910838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes71c3,241$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.5310053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No60c3,226$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.056462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c3,100$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.9674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes36c3,076$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.216753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes58c2,591$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5113339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No22c2,581$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.9256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No34c2,329$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.63275%24 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+71.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No61c2,323$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.975356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes47c1,926$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.5617327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes38c1,896$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.879058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No34c1,733$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.597759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked No64c1,726$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea84…4680backed Yes68c1,700$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No61c1,577$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes67c1,473$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.621942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes36c1,337$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.854562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No33c1,298$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.4345142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes38c1,277$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.21764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes36c1,236$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4616757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes9c1,141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No62c1,059$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes36c876.86$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.555457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes39c784.85$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8411139.6%44 W · 67 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes36c763.51$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4413748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes36c749.13$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0820651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes49c709.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.181822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes36c696.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.999752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No52c670.76$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.343369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes51c660.83$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9436462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes37c656.26$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.115561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes69c621.74$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4292951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes46c618.15$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.921,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes67c597.15$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Yes36c558.79$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.21070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes36c557.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.997263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes36c532.84$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No35c532.48$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.911055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes39c520$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.830059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No35c519.86$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.912751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes35c485.71$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17012239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6a…7b98backed Yes65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes36c435.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5423556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c428.36$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c410.85$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes36c409.2$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.314254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524045%18 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No4c394.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.0715735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c393.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No62c384.01$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0213347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes39c371.15$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.98643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10523531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No38c297.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No34c295.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.246241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes37c287.64$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.683262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No35c287.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No30c283.2$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1118841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes37c280.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.752951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes36c279.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes36c279.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes36c279.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Yes37c279.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No36c278.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.023852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d2a…e360backed Yes36c277.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.