TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e2…ea00backed Yes23c47,516$10,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,587.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd5…6962backed No77c47,516$36,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,587.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb704…dc1ebacked No0c8,159$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes17c4,758$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.315521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc648…2d24backed Yes54c4,075$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed No45c3,820$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes38c3,546$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.46933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes26c3,103$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.641729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a2…4033backed Yes37c2,682$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4690…df50backed Yes18c2,624$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+181.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes31c2,604$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.35334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4600…78aabacked Yes54c2,576$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5157…aa2cbacked No78c2,431$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes34c2,261$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.84742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes24c2,081$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.385137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes78c2,017$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.425959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c1,957$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.6812353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x158a…2b9dbacked Yes60c1,841$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes33c1,772$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1691…f06dbacked Yes14c1,721$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.471315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No3c1,720$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.96570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No41c1,659$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.651833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No62c1,599$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.557950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb782…955cbacked Yes24c1,578$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes53c1,414$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.986732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42b…c477backed No66c1,358$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes20c1,354$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.611040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479f…5bfcbacked Yes39c1,278$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.771533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4191…569fbacked Yes38c1,239$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8cf…f9f6backed Yes17c1,207$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.34425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Yes54c1,036$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No76c1,029$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.685442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5231…aedcbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes60c999.99$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4031154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…861ebacked Yes63c984.24$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes44c960.77$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+192.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbd…070abacked Yes5c957.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+857.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No27c956.12$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes31c949.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.295922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d8…d8e0backed Yes7c876$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,392.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed Yes9c875.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.691936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No71c863.44$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick64cpaid-78.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ca9…6ec9backed Yes32c861.64$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes38c847.94$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+159.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e36…b21fbacked Yes24c843.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+110.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aaa…7f26backed Yes60c839.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes31c832.63$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.31450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes13c823.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.121546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick17cpaid+109.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbe2…b355backed Yes36c820.87$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7b…a54bbacked Yes5c809.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+333.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes26c738.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.993766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes76c732.45$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.262955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes7c725.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.687233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed No62c722.62$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.361861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x97f4…8b11backed Yes28c720.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+252.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb46d…8e83backed Yes42c712.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3e…dc7dbacked Yes62c709.85$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed Yes26c700$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5171136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a19…2833backed Yes73c698.24$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.24742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebf…9e38backed Yes31c695.13$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e1…fed3backed Yes45c670.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd12…87a4backed No71c658.14$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2154…ceacbacked Yes9c655.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,070.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efd…67e3backed Yes27c633.49$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef96…67bfbacked Yes6c629$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,624.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…3c0cbacked Yes5c620$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,786.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes53c619.46$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.643828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes54c599.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Yes46c599$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes4c593.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.46911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+153.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes5c592.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.181250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+186.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No15c588.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.04277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42c…c46bbacked Yes39c577.91$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bd…4b8bbacked Yes18c558.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+126.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba14…65d8backed Yes73c545.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2800…93e7backed Yes9c544.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9717…3753backed Yes2c542$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.161100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca9b…217fbacked Yes24c538.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55e…263cbacked Yes56c535.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.73540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes27c517.89$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.351216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d7…b96bbacked No4c515.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2130…b64dbacked Yes22c514.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.152236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Yes59c506$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba0…0b16backed Yes7c505$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,415.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No59c504$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes58c500$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick16cpaid+130.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes63c497.52$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18d…b356backed Yes20c494.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes59c485.94$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No42c468.29$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.244353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7030…ce2ebacked Yes4c459$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.721100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,281%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes5c458.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.391838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+91.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes27c453$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes59c450$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6504…6bbbbacked Yes39c449.14$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc950…08a3backed Yes4c435$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.31100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,225.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x784a…7ac9backed Yes76c427.19$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7331…351cbacked Yes4c423$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.391100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,172.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.