TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$591,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa14…5133backed Yes33c56,177$18,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,538.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe10…2a3fbacked No67c56,177$37,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,538.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd299…840fbacked Yes31c54,821$16,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,994.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791b…a810backed No69c54,821$37,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,994.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8921…fbd0backed No69c52,905$36,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,400.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93e…2db5backed Yes31c52,905$16,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,400.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…62b4backed Yes34c31,736$10,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,790.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0c…077cbacked No66c31,736$20,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,790.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5157…aa2cbacked Yes65c14,219$9,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,175.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa97…029dbacked Yes52c8,846$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e0…fb31backed No48c8,840$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,596.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6a…8a4ebacked No48c8,516$4,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa4…f3ecbacked Yes52c8,510$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cc…8e95backed Yes17c8,300$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6e75backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes35c4,927$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes27c4,689$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.043828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Yes13c4,120$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Yes45c3,405$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed No68c3,333$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes37c3,247$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.35334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes50c3,150$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.0411547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…f836backed Yes19c2,675$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked No29c2,634$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.881540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes9c2,290$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.931833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd486…2287backed Yes62c2,214$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes54c2,164$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick64cpaid-78.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No56c1,865$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes8c1,785$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick17cpaid+109.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes28c1,667$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.883423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked No55c1,658$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.11933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes59c1,502$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88840%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd0e…a9c8backed No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes33c1,392$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.0112523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c1,346$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.53570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb782…955cbacked Yes29c1,256$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7505…80f6backed Yes56c1,122$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa5…3729backed Yes28c1,091$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes27c1,079$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.676732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No62c1,076$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.655442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a7…9074backed Yes39c1,052$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x273f…3150backed Yes19c1,041$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes36c999.84$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.442536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes27c999.84$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.961618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a0…11f9backed Yes13c964.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b8…2c92backed Yes6c788.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes20c785.77$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5812353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes30c769.45$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.215137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes27c754.66$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+178.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes28c725.13$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5273…69f5backed Yes57c700.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed Yes32c700$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.641136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1691…f06dbacked Yes18c693.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.91315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8c…2e4bbacked Yes24c691.16$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No68c662.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes24c637.96$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.492615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x479f…5bfcbacked Yes51c582.2$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf281…eeeebacked Yes48c580$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes45c571.5$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes27c566.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.211216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c527.65$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.783040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2926…2ab4backed Yes33c505.86$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No63c501.43$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.527950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes37c499.95$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-78.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes31c488.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed Yes25c487.91$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.951947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf85f…9800backed Yes62c485.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes32c480.37$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b07…b01ebacked Yes40c427.19$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4191…569fbacked Yes25c416.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf346…9738backed Yes36c396.6$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed No53c395$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes29c392.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.593537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1e…48e7backed Yes29c375.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f96…bda8backed Yes32c370$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes27c369.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.693842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c7b…e569backed Yes53c355$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed No31c354$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.264047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes27c341.67$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.678939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1be…dc41backed Yes30c338.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc84d…01e2backed Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98a…99b1backed Yes34c324.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…f9a6backed No31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…c73cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127d…a75fbacked Yes32c312.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8445…b147backed Yes58c305.39$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c304.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.823766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4a…ddb8backed No44c301.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b16…a4fcbacked No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No70c292.27$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.893444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes17c288.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No79c287.61$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3912616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No64c282.75$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdefd…3f9dbacked Yes53c280.45$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Yes36c279.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes42c272$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.