TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc84d…01e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST3450%17 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$323
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$174
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$247.25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+195.1%+$39.67
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$98
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$66
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$96
LoL: DRX vs Dplus KIA (BO1)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$127
LoL: KT Rolster vs DRX (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.81
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$181.37
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$148
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37.9%+$302.25
LoL: Gen.G vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$165.32
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$817
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$443.95
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$156.4
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$629.47
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.48
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+128%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Will Usyk vs. Fury have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+83.9%+$419.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+64.3%+$176.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$46.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$196.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.