TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3df8…a696backed Over38c18,200$6,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,921.983452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ca…cebbbacked Under67c12,700$8,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1914100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under67c11,855$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.1444648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under59c11,762$6,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.931,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Under67c9,656$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.53767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Over33c9,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Under74c8,636$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.4334156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Over33c7,839$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.413050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over33c6,544$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.5481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Under70c6,272$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.6716749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Over33c4,638$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.392544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Over15c4,474$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.7332425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over18c3,909$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.510635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Under74c3,840$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.022360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Over33c3,814$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.5183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Over30c3,747$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.982972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e3…084ebacked Over2c3,251$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99012653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Over32c2,908$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.988446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over35c2,897$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under68c2,668$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under68c2,367$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.6632552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Over25c2,207$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.88416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Over32c2,053$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.829050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb615…5baebacked Under68c1,732$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.275261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Under67c1,700$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56913065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Over33c1,503$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x358a…f880backed Under68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6629…d64fbacked Over35c1,450$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Over32c1,210$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.23043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Over8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Over17c1,192$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked Under67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Under66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Under67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Over30c847.76$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.335352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Under68c824$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.681250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed Under65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…3a19backed Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Under67c799.99$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26422056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Under68c769.12$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2929851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x706e…e1b8backed Over34c723.53$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Over15c668.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.871330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…c9ffbacked Over5c650$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0719…c6b9backed Over2c639.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.174344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under66c605.08$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.841,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over33c603.85$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2736749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Over32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19297230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda82…eb29backed Under67c600$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1712…2215backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under65c579.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.260748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Over47c567.35$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.511631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Over3c515.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c4f…206ebacked Over4c510.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+146.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under60c500.15$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.791,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Under68c478.57$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1415970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Over35c475.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5431452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Over35c460.23$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0837650.3%189 W · 187 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Under71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over50c408.16$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.082035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over26c387.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Under52c357.8$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.612152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ffe…233bbacked Under67c343.06$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c1…d321backed Under78c340.8$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over34c338.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11524038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Over4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f87…c701backed Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+82.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Under66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10247441.6%197 W · 277 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4a…b153backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1238157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over34c293.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.863953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5cc…b8a2backed Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under63c281.41$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1281244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…378fbacked Under77c275.53$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-81.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f87…be27backed Under67c274.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.952070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+52.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ac3…d015backed Under67c243.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+64.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Over5c240$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.231731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Under70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Over14c209$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6860838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Under68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6413441.8%56 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6825350.2%127 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Under71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5836555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Over52c191.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.