CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc807a23fdf13e240120c54a5383c7133e54c9c77f7d1b528503e3599ef3e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Under | 30c | 16,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…7c29backed Over | 70c | 16,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Over | 71c | 7,167$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Under | 30c | 4,160$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.09 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Over | 68c | 3,840$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.75 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Under | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 71c | 2,850$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.38 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Over | 70c | 2,705$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.42 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb8…4d53backed Under | 5c | 2,283$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Under | 29c | 2,250$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.49 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 8c | 1,651$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…f024backed Over | 75c | 1,438$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…001fbacked Over | 71c | 1,405$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 16c | 1,264$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Under | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…bbd8backed Under | 30c | 749.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…511abacked Under | 32c | 720.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…d6b7backed Under | 29c | 709.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Under | 28c | 686$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…a44bbacked Under | 30c | 610$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 30c | 599.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…b153backed Under | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c86…8a89backed Over | 70c | 494.29$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Under | 20c | 484.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 26c | 475.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Over | 71c | 383.1$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…bab5backed Under | 15c | 334.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 27c | 289.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…fee8backed Under | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…55b0backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…d623backed Over | 70c | 132$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 70c | 130.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Under | 28c | 123.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Over | 71c | 101.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…fcfcbacked Under | 15c | 100.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…4a7ebacked Under | 29c | 82.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf549…2ecbbacked Over | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…c0cebacked Under | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 68c | 65.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Under | 32c | 63.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed Over | 71c | 57.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…c3acbacked Over | 73c | 53.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 26c | 46.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…ccb0backed Over | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…f77fbacked Under | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Under | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over | 68c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…1496backed Over | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…e3f2backed Under | 32c | 34.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895a…d75fbacked Over | 71c | 30.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Over | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…1d18backed Over | 71c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked Over | 78c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…79fabacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.