TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,398,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,810,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,398,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1638…339bbacked No44c257,180$113,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,095.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No44c90,628$40,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,165.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No45c87,097$39,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,194.871020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No44c84,737$37,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,330.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No43c81,574$35,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,380.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac31…dbcebacked Yes55c72,918$40,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,638.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No45c66,767$29,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,738.871050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked No2c51,169$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes56c45,569$25,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,202.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes55c42,400$23,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,194.271118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No46c35,375$16,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,296.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb088…683dbacked Yes58c34,473$19,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,478.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No46c33,184$15,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,142.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3291…e502backed Yes55c30,166$16,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,623.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes55c28,856$15,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,014.611010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3984…2158backed Yes59c24,818$14,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,218.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes55c24,308$13,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,834.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes56c22,579$12,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,934.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed No44c21,336$9,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,363.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb5…07d3backed Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked No43c18,464$7,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,904.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0939…9a00backed Yes55c18,182$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…91f4backed Yes57c17,919$10,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,753.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe7…145abacked Yes56c17,503$9,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,615.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735b…49e1backed Yes58c17,498$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x311b…0686backed Yes55c16,948$9,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,576.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes57c16,930$9,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,279.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a4…4d01backed Yes55c16,242$8,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,368.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No46c14,000$6,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,389.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes56c13,937$7,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,144.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40fb…6746backed Yes65c13,638$8,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,753.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0621…be2bbacked Yes63c12,675$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Yes55c11,890$6,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,350.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Yes54c11,351$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,221.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc6…1f48backed Yes57c11,013$6,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,758.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc3…3036backed Yes57c10,999$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa71…44b0backed Yes55c10,911$5,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,951.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…94c3backed Yes57c10,630$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,604.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a3…a462backed No45c10,087$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,539.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Yes56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c4…d57dbacked Yes57c9,945$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf047…15febacked Yes57c9,902$5,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes55c9,757$5,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,390.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6b…0158backed Yes54c9,727$5,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,429.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Yes56c9,352$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a2…19cbbacked Yes54c9,298$5,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,276.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a7…0105backed Yes54c9,154$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,168.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5181…4cb7backed Yes56c8,852$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,852.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-41%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9a9…9d5ebacked Yes56c8,846$4,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1827…5451backed Yes56c8,605$4,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b3…a375backed Yes56c8,391$4,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes57c8,246$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a7…89cbbacked Yes58c7,545$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d20…4c8abacked Yes58c7,461$4,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4451…79f7backed Yes55c7,272$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No44c7,233$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.09812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-78.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No44c7,123$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.141850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…334bbacked Yes54c7,043$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9470…7790backed No46c7,037$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No44c6,909$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.321250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb39…c7d9backed Yes57c6,704$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef6b…134dbacked No45c6,549$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c27…59dabacked Yes54c6,340$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac1…b2a7backed No46c5,961$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…e61bbacked Yes55c5,824$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No44c5,684$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda07…84a5backed Yes55c5,576$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc9…b5bebacked Yes56c5,397$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…ba1dbacked Yes56c5,300$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c58…01aebacked Yes55c5,255$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…f243backed Yes57c5,254$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1faf…f6e1backed Yes58c5,186$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7d…2040backed Yes54c4,988$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x423d…0c62backed Yes58c4,811$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes44c4,749$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.27333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…17a8backed Yes55c4,561$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes58c4,555$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.84942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b2…4bc7backed Yes55c4,546$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9b…03edbacked Yes56c4,471$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…8fbfbacked Yes58c4,311$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes57c4,293$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No45c4,177$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f2…d60abacked No44c4,071$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fa…7128backed Yes56c4,031$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No45c4,013$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb16a…81cbbacked Yes56c4,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No41c3,924$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.411546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No40c3,802$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.281625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7834…dafabacked Yes57c3,686$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes57c3,684$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6d…4648backed Yes55c3,632$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa25…6406backed Yes55c3,627$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef50…9c63backed Yes57c3,594$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0975…a569backed Yes57c3,577$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed72…e319backed Yes56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa531…f69ebacked Yes56c3,528$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0417…46b9backed Yes58c3,512$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.