Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde3fd57e8a4ec4653bfd5a472473148cfaa78cd7f9b407d567d86cbec9f511b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 11,198$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.57 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 72c | 8,954$6,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 6,283$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.78 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 5,378$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.97 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 2,669$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.86 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 31c | 2,345$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 2,025$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.37 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 63c | 1,762$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.57 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 67c | 1,651$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 15c | 1,462$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.66 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,030$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 41c | 842.05$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 32c | 775.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 31c | 760.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 25c | 691.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.46 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…617dbacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 17c | 671.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.35 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 581.36$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.06 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…887abacked Yes | 74c | 533.82$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 492.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.88 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 23c | 281.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 33c | 194.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 34c | 183.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…6964backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Yes | 32c | 145.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 60c | 120.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…01e2backed Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes | 79c | 117.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 69c | 107$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…28b4backed Yes | 64c | 92.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 14c | 90.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 62c | 87.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Yes | 79c | 82.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 69cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…bef4backed Yes | 48c | 72.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 71.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed No | 25c | 71.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 16c | 66.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked Yes | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Yes | 56c | 61.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…d4f0backed Yes | 33c | 60.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda97…d8c0backed Yes | 68c | 52.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 36c | 50.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 79c | 48.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f28dbacked Yes | 22c | 45.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +347%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea7…6b46backed No | 28c | 43.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 30c | 41.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…3742backed Yes | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…33febacked Yes | 57c | 29.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…b2d8backed Yes | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…973ebacked Yes | 80c | 14.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.