Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec5d81afe19b4e682119a891ebf8eabd3b7988fea9b1aab14495bd25deeffa0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 22c | 28,620$6,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,323.88 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 21c | 22,479$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,698.82 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 21,722$16,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,656.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 78c | 13,797$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 22c | 12,945$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,141.09 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 79c | 11,944$9,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,435.87 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 79c | 11,780$9,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,301.01 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 23c | 11,065$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.22 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 47c | 10,629$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.94 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 22c | 8,689$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 8,274$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.67 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 5,362$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.37 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 22c | 4,980$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 4,507$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.21 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.37 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 22c | 3,641$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 21c | 3,536$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.93 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 73c | 3,500$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 78c | 3,217$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 47c | 3,095$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.42 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 21c | 2,797$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.65 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 61c | 2,742$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 71c | 2,704$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 77c | 2,547$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.95 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 79c | 2,169$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.76 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 34c | 2,161$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,144$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 22c | 1,968$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.18 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 69c | 1,828$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.25 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,724$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.86 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 26c | 1,639$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…62a3backed Yes | 79c | 1,487$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 54c | 1,400$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.9 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 1,383$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.85 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 29c | 1,375$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 21c | 1,334$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 76c | 1,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 23c | 1,290$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 30cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 27c | 1,066$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 66c | 1,063$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…617dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,043$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 77c | 964$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.51 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 77c | 923.86$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.74 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 871.01$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.11 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 829.06$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 21c | 819.49$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 21c | 800$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 75c | 798.09$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.23 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 66c | 775.65$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Yes | 65c | 721.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 25c | 702.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes | 6c | 700$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…f051backed Yes | 78c | 691.03$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…e7e9backed Yes | 9c | 668.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 647.85$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.45 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 46c | 644.2$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.34 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 78c | 640$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 633.33$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 78c | 625$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 620.89$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.61 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 80c | 618.75$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 23c | 599.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 26c | 581.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.44 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…9e86backed Yes | 50c | 540.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 532.93$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes | 64c | 529.45$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 79c | 517$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Yes | 77c | 516.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 59c | 512$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 497.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 79c | 494.19$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 65c | 489$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 22c | 486.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 64c | 475.35$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 57c | 450$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…5a65backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.