Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821720460875eae3c4b3e1de912f572271d925ad4f26bfdb36d2906687e9b477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 6c | 8,560$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 5,431$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.56 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 23c | 3,023$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.39 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,666$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.24 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,420$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…5a65backed Yes | 12c | 2,415$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 2,236$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.02 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 7c | 2,206$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,179$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,790$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 1,650$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,553$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,213$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 1,194$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 6c | 1,183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 1,047$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…13fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 75c | 850$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 7c | 685.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 4c | 631.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 5c | 599.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 4c | 569.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 561$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 24c | 423.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…8592backed No | 78c | 400.64$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…24c6backed Yes | 23c | 349.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 6c | 304.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 9c | 271.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 56c | 209.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…887abacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…a0efbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…fbfbbacked Yes | 24c | 185$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Yes | 23c | 181.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…1e8dbacked Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…df16backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 18c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4778…398bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 48.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.