NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70bf82060a5455b101f7cde850765fc874336cf35ca3c5cc496bed5017fa307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $632,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 634 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Raptors | 52c | 50,000$25,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 58c | 38,552$22,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,102.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Raptors | 15c | 25,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 28c | 25,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 41c | 24,073$9,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,248.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Raptors | 44c | 22,728$9,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,958 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 7c | 21,220$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.86 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 59c | 17,880$10,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,325.94 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets | 42c | 15,047$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,794.69 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Raptors | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Hornets | 27c | 12,821$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,359.65 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…8f75backed Hornets | 26c | 11,888$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,797.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raptors | 52c | 11,556$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…12edbacked Raptors | 74c | 10,788$7,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,983.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Raptors | 72c | 10,001$7,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,201 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Raptors | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.87 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Hornets | 62c | 9,674$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.28 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…3c89backed Raptors | 74c | 9,357$6,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Hornets | 25c | 9,260$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,975.34 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…75d9backed Hornets | 5c | 8,400$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 67c | 8,221$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.65 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…efecbacked Raptors | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…1a38backed Hornets | 26c | 7,920$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…0a9bbacked Hornets | 26c | 7,910$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,853.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…924dbacked Raptors | 74c | 7,580$5,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.82 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Hornets | 24c | 6,936$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,238.97 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…e4a6backed Hornets | 28c | 6,862$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 35c | 6,842$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.68 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 32c | 6,734$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Hornets | 28c | 6,623$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Raptors | 44c | 6,552$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 75c | 5,965$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets | 26c | 5,770$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.46 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 73c | 5,569$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 59c | 5,555$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.43 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 28c | 5,466$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Raptors | 72c | 4,980$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.6 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 40c | 4,571$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.37 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Hornets | 27c | 4,450$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 59c | 4,182$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.34 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Hornets | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Hornets | 29c | 3,917$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.24 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Hornets | 28c | 3,860$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.99 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hornets | 43c | 3,538$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.07 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hornets | 53c | 3,502$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.08 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Hornets | 28c | 3,333$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.76 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 25c | 3,002$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.37 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Hornets | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 47c | 2,877$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 25c | 2,446$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 66c | 2,400$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 50c | 2,297$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raptors | 75c | 2,274$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.68 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Raptors | 75c | 2,261$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.18 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Hornets | 24c | 2,052$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.47 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 75c | 2,002$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Hornets | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…a4f8backed Raptors | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…f58bbacked Hornets | 68c | 1,954$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Raptors | 74c | 1,951$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.74 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Hornets | 29c | 1,940$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.18 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Raptors | 63c | 1,815$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.34 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f1…c192backed Raptors | 56c | 1,814$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Raptors | 76c | 1,788$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.9 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Raptors | 74c | 1,725$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.86 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Raptors | 39c | 1,677$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Raptors | 73c | 1,653$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 353 | 62.6%221 W · 132 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 53c | 1,631$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.58 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Raptors | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Raptors | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hornets | 49c | 1,463$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 29c | 1,376$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.68 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Raptors | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hornets | 27c | 1,368$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.36 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 54c | 1,310$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.5 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Raptors | 72c | 1,306$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 36c | 1,219$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Hornets | 29c | 1,152$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.21 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets | 27c | 1,131$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.58 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Hornets | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.81 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 27c | 1,105$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Hornets | 23c | 1,100$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Hornets | 64c | 1,039$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.49 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Raptors | 24c | 1,004$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hornets | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Raptors | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Raptors | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Hornets | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Hornets | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Raptors | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 46c | 966.12$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.82 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 59c | 960$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Raptors | 34c | 951.46$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Hornets | 28c | 932.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.14 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…6f5abacked Raptors | 74c | 878.38$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…5043backed Hornets | 27c | 870.37$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 34cpaid | +228.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Raptorsthis page
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.