NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9332d0e9b24d5e20d1dfcda03fec3ed34c5625824406afacf444d33958736bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Raptors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,696,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,695,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,696,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Hornets | 51c | 1,372,276$705,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667,275.61 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 49c | 600,000$294,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293,999.97 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 48c | 360,713$174,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,682.54 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 49c | 175,715$86,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,237.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Raptors | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hornets | 52c | 107,111$55,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,413.15 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 48c | 68,619$32,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,871.87 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raptors | 47c | 30,814$14,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,482.56 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Raptors | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.24 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 49c | 15,500$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors | 48c | 15,207$7,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.27 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 10,032$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hornets | 53c | 6,500$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…e4a6backed Hornets | 48c | 5,861$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 49c | 5,210$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Raptors | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Raptors | 49c | 4,985$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.65 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 48c | 4,890$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.56 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Raptors | 51c | 4,065$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Raptors | 48c | 4,016$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.89 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Hornets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 46c | 3,553$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Raptors | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Raptors | 48c | 2,431$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.92 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Raptors | 49c | 2,140$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.77 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…88b2backed Hornets | 48c | 2,068$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 48c | 2,064$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.17 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raptors | 49c | 1,496$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.04 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 48c | 1,258$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.16 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Raptors | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Raptors | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raptors | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Raptors | 51c | 788.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Hornets | 52c | 678.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.73 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 50c | 674$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Raptors | 51c | 517.36$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.29 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…5fb5backed Raptors | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Raptors | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Raptors | 52c | 308$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Raptors | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Hornets | 51c | 276.35$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 269$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Raptors | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Hornets | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Raptors | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…6bb9backed Raptors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Raptors | 54c | 197.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Hornets | 51c | 189.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…a6afbacked Hornets | 51c | 167.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…1f64backed Raptors | 52c | 161.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Raptors | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Raptors | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Raptors | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…56fabacked Raptors | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Hornets | 51c | 92.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Hornets | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Raptors | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Hornets | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…bd4cbacked Hornets | 51c | 68.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c9…893abacked Raptors | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Raptors | 53c | 50.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Raptors | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Raptors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Raptors | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…5be8backed Raptors | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Hornets | 51c | 37.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…ba69backed Hornets | 51c | 35.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Raptors | 50c | 31.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Raptors | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Raptors | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…1dd6backed Raptors | 54c | 27.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Raptors | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)this page
- Hornets vs. RaptorsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.