NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601a848f51d8f1f0e1f752c8782f2bb7186665e653f6dbc8bba5ba8edff082eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 22,926$11,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,237.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…4bd9backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…762dbacked Over | 49c | 7,347$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 6,886$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 4,795$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…80b0backed Over | 49c | 1,373$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 770.68$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 600.24$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.27 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 53c | 495.81$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.03 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 481$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…85d5backed Over | 49c | 277.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Over | 49c | 275.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…8514backed Over | 49c | 136.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…56e1backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 54.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…05cfbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 49c | 31.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…ba2ebacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5this page
- Hornets vs. RaptorsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.