TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes28c63,507$17,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,557.032429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No55c43,541$23,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,711.862378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes36c41,549$14,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,929.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-74.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No54c37,278$20,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,993.414356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes45c30,241$13,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,631.053228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No70c24,250$16,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,335.712246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes34c15,678$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.458622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No78c13,126$10,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.9914458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No54c11,839$6,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,436.125255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No77c9,627$7,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.334472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes46c9,488$4,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,383.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x036e…9276backed No62c8,707$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No53c7,947$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No55c6,898$3,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.051338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x620b…d4adbacked No48c6,022$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.995337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked No54c5,786$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.056732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a9…107abacked Yes2c5,235$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c4,725$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.61570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x916d…103fbacked Yes46c4,344$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+67.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No55c3,600$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6206100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes5c3,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No53c2,467$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.425759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes44c2,121$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.351050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c2,100$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27313219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No56c2,063$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.611811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-83%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe005…14fdbacked Yes42c2,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes10c1,815$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…4fa1backed Yes13c1,771$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes13c1,560$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2390…7f3ebacked Yes45c1,550$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.47955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf929…5407backed Yes39c1,541$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes14c1,466$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes49c1,463$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d68…f0bebacked Yes33c1,391$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-75.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x400b…6764backed Yes2c1,350$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b6…c8d0backed Yes4c1,332$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…bdb0backed Yes45c1,266$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes50c1,177$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.213716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed Yes45c1,100$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.83837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No73c1,074$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes13c1,040$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes11c1,037$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0460%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes13c1,035$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f1…e0e8backed Yes44c1,009$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+134.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c0e…9533backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b70…6e9fbacked Yes13c992.31$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed No63c900$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes7c900$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9981…2d71backed Yes13c865.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f90…9056backed Yes29c860.81$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes52c857.91$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba73…ab9abacked Yes12c837.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No55c799.99$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes42c799.97$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e9…3b95backed Yes13c770.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eff…a6e9backed Yes13c770.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613e…cb44backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes5c767.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.387133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…ad47backed Yes7c753.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3680…a456backed Yes11c720$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes14c700$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed No46c599.96$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x295b…2e44backed Yes14c564.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…870bbacked Yes26c558.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes11c554$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.946410.9%7 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes14c536.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7761…532fbacked Yes13c522.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.962015%3 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1585…7574backed No57c520.65$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e2…871dbacked Yes13c512.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7380%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…578fbacked Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…d95cbacked No80c490.84$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.63540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c9…c01ebacked Yes13c484.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…060fbacked Yes27c482.76$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…09b1backed Yes42c450$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe390…1deabacked Yes14c447.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee2b…7f73backed Yes45c444.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…38a4backed Yes55c436.36$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7b…725cbacked Yes45c420$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Yes44c404.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a2a…1187backed Yes13c403.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-79.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…a73bbacked Yes13c376.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes42c360$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…d62fbacked Yes8c355.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed Yes14c330.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes12c330$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.