TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3257…2f3bbacked No0c26,355$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.365337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No43c21,460$9,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,172.14472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes63c16,777$10,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,291.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked No46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes73c13,931$10,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.322429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c10,692$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.3714356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x036e…9276backed Yes45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes66c9,511$6,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-74.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No37c8,422$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.3312246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc42…8e99backed Yes50c8,003$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,022.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No15c6,722$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.475028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked No35c5,490$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.956732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes77c5,198$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.794100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b8…b983backed No40c5,016$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No33c4,933$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.3214458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No40c4,188$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.532378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes69c4,062$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.071376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes68c3,690$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.762360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b7…963abacked Yes69c2,905$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a9…107abacked No4c2,829$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes47c2,725$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.192450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No37c2,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeba5…3474backed No38c2,628$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No38c2,050$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.9913219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes64c2,000$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.257739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Yes65c1,794$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…bdb0backed Yes29c1,757$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No51c1,663$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.612353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes67c1,487$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.09825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No33c1,477$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.271414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Yes62c1,275$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.452548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No6c1,263$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.43570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…4fa1backed No37c1,250$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed No11c1,150$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes69c1,073$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3dd…63c9backed No9c1,061$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes63c1,000$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.281618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504b…57c2backed Yes66c929.85$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes68c919.08$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6412646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2521…c3cbbacked Yes64c862.85$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes73c851.27$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.226051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf8…5d1dbacked Yes65c769.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f20…086abacked No37c760.41$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed No73c700$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes24c625.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick29cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes62c599.9$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9610051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes24c551.95$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.35759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes61c547$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.392661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…578fbacked No5c540.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba73…ab9abacked Yes63c537.28$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked No38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1585…7574backed No73c520.05$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed No36c497.22$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked No11c461.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Yes63c433.33$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1b…7162backed Yes64c426.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc902…c498backed No12c404.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3216backed No5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e37…03d2backed No69c400$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2776547.7%31 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b04…3a41backed Yes23c400$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5696…6552backed Yes65c396.25$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…ec72backed No38c392.11$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No40c385$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.154551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes68c368.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No40c357.14$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8611266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked No36c349.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.994134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed No76c336.46$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5b…5030backed Yes32c312.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.43560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes70c300$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f5…6f7cbacked No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee8…621ebacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Yes63c295.21$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed No38c294.71$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.122218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…a73bbacked No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed No9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ad…972fbacked No38c237.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8396…e909backed Yes63c222.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb54a…cf5abacked No14c218.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf985…67c6backed Yes68c214.54$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b6…6faabacked No35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cd…26a5backed Yes39c205.1$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes32c203.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.223828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…3a3ebacked No32c197.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes32c186.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.752828.6%8 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a2a…1187backed No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-79.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb256…b6dfbacked No24c172.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.