F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956ff527009530332ab3c5286b683a60d73b9f3d649e0b80620db3432178faea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 16c | 3,750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,152$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Yes | 16c | 3,096$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 19c | 2,656$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 13c | 2,483$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes | 19c | 2,151$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 2,050$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 1,191$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 8c | 1,182$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…e387backed Yes | 16c | 1,134$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 5c | 1,115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 7c | 932.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…6e9fbacked Yes | 17c | 868.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…ab9abacked Yes | 20c | 859.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…f9f6backed Yes | 1c | 755.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 18c | 625$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Yes | 4c | 618.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…90ddbacked Yes | 16c | 609.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 604.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 7c | 598.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613e…cb44backed Yes | 17c | 593.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 463$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 455.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 6c | 433.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 69c | 432.68$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67c…f936backed Yes | 16c | 377.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes | 6c | 353.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3376backed Yes | 16c | 302.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…621ebacked Yes | 19c | 301.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…45c5backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…c01ebacked Yes | 17c | 297.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…a73bbacked Yes | 18c | 284.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…cda9backed Yes | 18c | 271.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 6c | 248.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 8c | 246.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…060fbacked Yes | 9c | 207.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08df…8265backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…2a2bbacked Yes | 18c | 170.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 10c | 155.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…7637backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…03d8backed Yes | 18c | 144.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 8c | 139.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…2bd1backed Yes | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…25bdbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Yes | 18c | 113.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf5bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ef…9a31backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 13c | 92.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…c12abacked Yes | 16c | 90.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…bf8abacked Yes | 28c | 90.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…2148backed Yes | 14c | 89.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…bf63backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc139…2008backed Yes | 18c | 85.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…b5e7backed Yes | 14c | 82.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 14c | 70.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…b21bbacked Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.