TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55e4…bf8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 61-62°F on November 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$86.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 61-62°F on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on November 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$99.12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+136.8%+$60.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+70.8%+$26.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$26.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.2
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$56.83
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52.7
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+103.1%+$101.55
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$9.79
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Air Force vs. Colorado Statebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.