Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d7a2f38542b20853e77ef59cdb9dedf835fde8cd7a8d421c8db355f684bba0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,107 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 56c | 26,354$14,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,707.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 56c | 10,223$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 8,829$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 6,608$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.55 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 5,814$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 44c | 5,669$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 5,002$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.14 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.92 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Under | 57c | 4,724$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over | 45c | 4,053$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 44c | 3,934$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 56c | 3,869$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.68 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 44c | 3,864$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 55c | 3,533$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.01 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 3,511$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 37c | 3,026$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.97 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Over | 45c | 2,536$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 56c | 2,480$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 63c | 1,807$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 44c | 1,719$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.75 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 1,294$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.21 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 67c | 1,250$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.86 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,147$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.61 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Over | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 72c | 978.06$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.2 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 56c | 958.86$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.96 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Under | 56c | 862.9$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.22 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 833.87$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 762.9$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.37 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 760.65$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.16 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 44c | 681.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.88 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 57c | 666.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 44c | 665.19$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 58c | 653.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.42 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 45c | 629$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 603.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.79 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 56c | 600$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 572.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Under | 56c | 533.26$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 499.97$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 492.31$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 44c | 478.36$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.36 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 20c | 455.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 45c | 377.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…dafcbacked Under | 57c | 364.66$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…6442backed Under | 57c | 364.37$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…ca5bbacked Under | 57c | 360.91$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…9fbbbacked Under | 57c | 358.26$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…6a9dbacked Under | 57c | 356.82$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8216…5a4ebacked Under | 57c | 354.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…2d4dbacked Under | 57c | 353.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…c524backed Over | 44c | 350.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…a72fbacked Over | 44c | 350.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…f583backed Over | 44c | 350.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c46…0000backed Over | 44c | 348.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…e3e9backed Over | 44c | 347.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…d4f1backed Over | 44c | 346.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 44c | 341.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…63e0backed Over | 44c | 341.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 54c | 338.89$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.89 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 330.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Over | 44c | 318.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 44c | 276.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 262.19$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Over | 43c | 260.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…2401backed Under | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 249.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 58c | 233.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 44c | 227.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 42cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 44c | 227.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 43c | 223.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 45c | 222.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 77c | 218.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over | 72c | 212.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 209.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 62c | 191.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…4f52backed Under | 29c | 171.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 46c | 157.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 44c | 146.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Under | 31c | 144$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 56c | 143.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.