Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8591526b51f905e0a0200beb2705e7b5ab42d481b47592fdd824e698260640a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Sassuolo Calcioof SS Lazio, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,973 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 75c | 1,250$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 80c | 831.15$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed SS Lazio | 19c | 828$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed SS Lazio | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked SS Lazio | 38c | 705.38$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.84 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed SS Lazio | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 80c | 399$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SS Lazio | 20c | 287.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed SS Lazio | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…a9d2backed SS Lazio | 20c | 246.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked SS Lazio | 10c | 166.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…adebbacked SS Lazio | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…6579backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 78c | 31.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 79c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SS Lazio | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 79c | 23.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 64c | 23.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 62c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)this page
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.