Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7fa1e987a42e674bea26a013ceb7ff3dcb863c9eec6c7f7207c3b72f7a8d79d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,235 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 29c | 1,890$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.05 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 11c | 826.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 71c | 555$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…e52bbacked Under | 31c | 320.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 29c | 265.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 70c | 255.48$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 70c | 198.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked Under | 9c | 189.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…eddcbacked Over | 70c | 165.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Under | 29c | 151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 30c | 137.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 13c | 121.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…fbb1backed Over | 71c | 105.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…e51bbacked Over | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 71c | 91.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…2e8dbacked Over | 70c | 86.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…3b24backed Under | 31c | 84.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…9d41backed Over | 70c | 68.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Over | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 32c | 66.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…caeabacked Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…b014backed Over | 71c | 57.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 71c | 54.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…bda2backed Over | 69c | 51.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 69c | 44.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 71c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 71c | 28.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…db7bbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 71c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Over | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…cd58backed Over | 70c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.