TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,347 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over0c66,782$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c20,228$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.671,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c7,524$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.522,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,760$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.047358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under79c5,080$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.631145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under78c4,834$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.938042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over34c4,534$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5212236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc32f…31a0backed Under78c4,509$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under78c3,847$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.343464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over22c3,436$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.9240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…98b7backed Over22c2,367$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1017…714fbacked Over22c1,905$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over1c1,708$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over21c1,554$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Under49c1,377$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.264546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over21c1,315$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c1,206$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Under59c994.47$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.471060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over24c834$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.161546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under62c804.39$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over25c759.17$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.54825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over42c627.9$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.721747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Over7c599.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.571118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over2c544$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under78c393.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.091283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over22c370$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under65c332.31$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3113946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ee…7e3abacked Over23c311.43$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under77c249.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over41c244.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over42c210$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.214549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over24c177.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.515028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6359…1562backed Over22c174$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Over29c173.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf12…569cbacked Over11c148.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over42c143.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f07…8626backed Under62c136.37$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.37650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd0…31c9backed Over22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over45c129.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.916956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f6b…4dcfbacked Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a0…ba20backed Over24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over22c124$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.284261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd63…7185backed Over23c119.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under55c116.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.486245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c107.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2512…9030backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7911460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under56c90.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.819750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed Under71c88.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.73540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over23c83.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0414553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Under65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Under69c76.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.65459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over24c72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.289137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…cf65backed Over23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Under71c59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.112556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over21c58.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3813445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over22c54.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7721251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over35c52.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.429056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x968c…34bcbacked Under78c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Over22c48.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+137.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under77c46.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under75c40.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.262272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c39.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7916340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72e3…a8cabacked Over41c31.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under77c30.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.119078.9%71 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under50c29.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec9f…2338backed Under78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over39c26.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb323…b49ebacked Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under56c25.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf75d…790bbacked Under78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under77c20.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7642347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9923…39e0backed Under78c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.