Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a04e8b440fc1b39a295044c0fcf99551b78703e0b972779c063a019ece48b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,800,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,846,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,800,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6bc…a49ebacked No | 59c | 1,345,804$789,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789,407.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 42c | 464,279$193,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,433.43 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 41c | 460,000$188,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271,129.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 41c | 150,000$61,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 42c | 99,417$41,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,061.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 56c | 82,111$45,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,976.33 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 38,449$16,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,391.01 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 42c | 35,986$15,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,916.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 26,991$14,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,928.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 58c | 24,447$14,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,179.2 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 44c | 20,000$8,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,201.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 12,676$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,644.05 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 42c | 12,190$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 43c | 12,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 41c | 11,863$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.42 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 11,007$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.34 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed No | 57c | 10,429$5,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 56c | 9,848$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 42c | 9,608$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.98 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 42c | 9,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 8,187$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.12 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 6,506$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.13 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 6,287$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 6,158$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.04 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 44c | 5,700$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 41c | 4,813$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.69 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 58c | 4,809$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 42c | 4,785$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Yes | 44c | 4,375$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…a431backed Yes | 45c | 4,214$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 41c | 3,370$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.14 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 43c | 2,674$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 23c | 2,589$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.79 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 78c | 2,566$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 41c | 2,450$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 56c | 2,357$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 57c | 1,764$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 41c | 1,600$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes | 36c | 1,360$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 42c | 1,171$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.4 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 44c | 1,141$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.91 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…95dbbacked No | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…0d35backed Yes | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 40c | 1,026$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.91 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…1236backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd984…3e80backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 834.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.09 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e6…0d1fbacked Yes | 44c | 770$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…9399backed No | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…b032backed No | 57c | 720$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…4e15backed Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 42c | 690.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.72 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 38c | 677$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 53c | 655.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.33 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 44c | 653.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 14c | 604.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed No | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 43c | 535.27$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.61 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…eba1backed Yes | 38c | 523.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 509.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 44c | 508.24$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 42c | 494.2$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Yes | 43c | 492.14$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 43c | 491.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 56c | 445.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 40c | 412.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 401.52$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 392.11$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb4…85d8backed No | 57c | 359$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…80aebacked No | 57c | 352.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.