Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275726cf40ba4fe526c8622ead77e8f2244fb7bb38b31bbf824edc7371fb9422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 72c | 33,569$24,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.27 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 28c | 27,800$7,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,784 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 19,426$13,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445.28 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 9,805$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 8,764$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.15 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 69c | 3,746$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 2,175$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.4 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,952$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 28c | 1,879$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…677bbacked No | 69c | 1,500$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Yes | 21c | 1,448$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 28c | 1,414$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…d509backed No | 72c | 1,371$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 1,021$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.89 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 943.13$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 14c | 556.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 547.92$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 535.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 79c | 474.53$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 69c | 463.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 22c | 458.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 30c | 408.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 28c | 378.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 324.68$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 9c | 315.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 72c | 290$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 28c | 272.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 28c | 258$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 27c | 234.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Yes | 7c | 216.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 72c | 201.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 28c | 198.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6791…b1febacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 28c | 163$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 159.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 146.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 77c | 144.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 134.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…721cbacked Yes | 28c | 124.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes | 20c | 108.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 28c | 108.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 72c | 105.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…acb1backed No | 73c | 102$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…ec67backed Yes | 27c | 97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 94.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 90.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…8357backed Yes | 29c | 88.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 28c | 72.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 69.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 72c | 68.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed No | 73c | 63.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 72c | 54.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…a858backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 79c | 51.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…750cbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 45.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…98b9backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 40.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 28c | 38.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 69c | 30.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.