TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes6c14,502$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.333,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c8,652$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.331,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c7,060$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.126010%6 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2aa…6be4backed Yes29c2,320$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c2,114$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.891,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes3c1,933$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5214315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3153…1dbcbacked No71c1,700$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes2c1,475$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…8621backed Yes2c1,405$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…9818backed Yes29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No72c802.77$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.773941%16 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…184dbacked No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes26c654.72$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c568.61$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.843339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes29c563.41$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3911843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes29c535.27$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.387935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c510.1$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9330054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes28c456.46$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.819831.6%31 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes19c402.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d9…e01fbacked Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c368.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3169851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked No75c340$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3317652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No72c320.15$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.158363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c310$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.553645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c230.89$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1735856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No71c230.41$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+232.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Yes29c227.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes29c220$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.81618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119621.9%21 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed6f…2378backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8655…39c0backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812d…8f72backed Yes29c194.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked No74c181.93$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c181.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0619347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Yes29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3929…c3f2backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes29c151.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.773129%9 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c144$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9333945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.210057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897268.1%49 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No71c133.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes27c112.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4a8…f031backed No71c106$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No70c103.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284075%30 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6646…0925backed Yes29c99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes31c98.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0316343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked No72c98.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No72c90.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.464463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c87.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.134342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c75.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.431,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4210554.3%57 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4237344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No73c69.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.934546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb301…79ddbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No72c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.486462.5%40 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No74c63.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.512755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes30c63.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192516%4 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Yes29c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes28c55.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8353140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No79c53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.966553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158636%31 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc09…21d0backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes28c46.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1921051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No71c44.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.975563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes29c42.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.444650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2af6…b030backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed No72c37.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed No72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.724468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x169b…6f9ebacked No72c31.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…f396backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f18…9d3cbacked No72c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c26.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8742046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No70c26.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.974645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed No74c25.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2512165.3%79 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.58067.5%54 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…78e8backed No72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…9691backed No71c22.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a2…9721backed No72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…1627backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No72c17.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.973154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c15.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2262452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.653770.3%26 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.