College Football · resolved market
Air Force vs. Colorado State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x997c7b7f8ade41083a481516e0ff18c909d239db1c08d3aeb16337f6006a02ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Air Forceof Air Force, Colorado State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado State | 42c | 46,255$19,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,273.32 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Air Force | 58c | 43,043$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,043.5 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Air Force | 57c | 27,416$15,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,791.68 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado State | 6c | 14,988$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.83 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colorado State | 42c | 11,355$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Colorado State | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Air Force | 56c | 4,987$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.94 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Colorado State | 33c | 3,365$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.87 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Colorado State | 43c | 3,316$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.06 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Colorado State | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State | 42c | 2,726$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.81 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado State | 10c | 2,593$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State | 18c | 2,002$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.28 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Colorado State | 45c | 1,802$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.87 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Colorado State | 3c | 1,600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado State | 19c | 1,509$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Colorado State | 44c | 1,505$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.1 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Colorado State | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Colorado State | 43c | 1,424$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.51 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Colorado State | 44c | 1,286$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.28 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Colorado State | 42c | 1,200$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Colorado State | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Air Force | 55c | 1,155$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Air Force | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Colorado State | 44c | 950.02$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.01 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado State | 43c | 833$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.11 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State | 13c | 710.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…43e2backed Colorado State | 45c | 664.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…a8bcbacked Air Force | 56c | 663.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Colorado State | 17c | 658.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Colorado State | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colorado State | 44c | 572.73$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Colorado State | 44c | 564.95$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Colorado State | 45c | 439.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Air Force | 56c | 429.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Air Force | 55c | 422$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…917abacked Colorado State | 44c | 388.08$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Colorado State | 14c | 375$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Air Force | 55c | 361$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Colorado State | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Colorado State | 43c | 325.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Air Force | 57c | 307$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Colorado State | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…1781backed Colorado State | 46c | 273.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…352ebacked Air Force | 55c | 273.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Air Force | 55c | 273.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Colorado State | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colorado State | 45c | 240.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Air Force | 55c | 239.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…bc84backed Air Force | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colorado State | 8c | 224.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Colorado State | 46c | 212.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Colorado State | 44c | 211.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Colorado State | 44c | 210$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Colorado State | 14c | 203.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Air Force | 55c | 197$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked Colorado State | 44c | 181.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Air Force | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Air Force | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Air Force | 56c | 178.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Air Force | 55c | 170.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Air Force | 55c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…39f0backed Air Force | 56c | 164.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Colorado State | 41c | 150.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Air Force | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Colorado State | 15c | 145.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed Air Force | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Colorado State | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…ddfabacked Colorado State | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…251cbacked Colorado State | 45c | 106.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Air Force | 76c | 104.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado State | 45c | 101.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Air Force | 55c | 100.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Colorado State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Colorado State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Air Force | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Colorado State | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Colorado State | 45c | 99.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…0446backed Air Force | 56c | 93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…9d7cbacked Colorado State | 14c | 83.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…e91bbacked Air Force | 55c | 82.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1eb…7ea6backed Colorado State | 45c | 82.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Colorado State | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Air Force | 57c | 68.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked Colorado State | 44c | 64.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…64f2backed Colorado State | 46c | 61.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…e2adbacked Colorado State | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…c9debacked Colorado State | 45c | 57.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…70a5backed Colorado State | 45c | 57.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Colorado State | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…b93dbacked Colorado State | 44c | 54.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…4e05backed Air Force | 55c | 54.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…df63backed Air Force | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4f…66e9backed Colorado State | 46c | 53.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…1c93backed Air Force | 55c | 52.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…1afdbacked Air Force | 55c | 52.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988f…0b07backed Air Force | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…d27cbacked Air Force | 57c | 52.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…3d6dbacked Air Force | 56c | 51.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Air Force vs. Colorado Statethis page
- Air Force vs. Colorado State: O/U 45.5Over won
- Air Force vs. Colorado State: O/U 46.5Over won
- Air Force vs. Colorado State: O/U 47.5Over won
- Air Force vs. Colorado State: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Air Force (-2.5)Air Force won
- Spread: Air Force (-3.5)Air Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.