TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x020b…ddfa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$47.3
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$66.3
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Air Force vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.1
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$79.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$13.74
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46.07
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.