CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb54ae077ff4879db920e0b3f50d0e820ffa4860cbba016aca87955d3ec9ba4c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof ARCRED, MINLATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MINLATE | 21c | 8,181$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.7 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MINLATE | 1c | 5,624$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ARCRED | 69c | 2,024$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.99 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE | 35c | 1,926$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…9b41backed MINLATE | 1c | 1,075$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked MINLATE | 29c | 1,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.53 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…accbbacked MINLATE | 15c | 934$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MINLATE | 34c | 726.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.89 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed MINLATE | 31c | 606.16$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked MINLATE | 4c | 549.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…4d88backed MINLATE | 33c | 516.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked ARCRED | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed ARCRED | 74c | 404.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…c6a5backed MINLATE | 31c | 327.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed MINLATE | 35c | 285.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ARCRED | 74c | 213.46$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed ARCRED | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked MINLATE | 12c | 199.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed MINLATE | 27c | 184.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked MINLATE | 26c | 175$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed MINLATE | 12c | 166.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed ARCRED | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked ARCRED | 51c | 152.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed MINLATE | 17c | 133.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked ARCRED | 74c | 128.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked MINLATE | 25c | 126.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…8b1cbacked ARCRED | 74c | 125.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked ARCRED | 63c | 120.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked MINLATE | 32c | 103.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed ARCRED | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed MINLATE | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked MINLATE | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed ARCRED | 78c | 97.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…f9c0backed ARCRED | 60c | 96.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed ARCRED | 71c | 94.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a8…68ebbacked MINLATE | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed MINLATE | 44c | 80.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed MINLATE | 26c | 76.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed ARCRED | 72c | 74.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…ffa1backed MINLATE | 73c | 73.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…1653backed MINLATE | 15c | 71.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…f5c7backed ARCRED | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked MINLATE | 24c | 68.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed MINLATE | 39c | 66.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed MINLATE | 28c | 63.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed MINLATE | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed ARCRED | 66c | 61.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked MINLATE | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed ARCRED | 71c | 57.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…45ddbacked ARCRED | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed MINLATE | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…fe33backed ARCRED | 63c | 47.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed ARCRED | 61c | 45.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed ARCRED | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MINLATE | 27c | 42.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked ARCRED | 72c | 42.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…ddfabacked MINLATE | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ARCRED | 70c | 31.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed MINLATE | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked ARCRED | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MINLATE | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked MINLATE | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed ARCRED | 55c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5b…0393backed ARCRED | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…959bbacked ARCRED | 69c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…4e1dbacked ARCRED | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…e415backed ARCRED | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked ARCRED | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 80cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE - Map 2 WinnerMINLATE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.