TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville Stateof Western Kentucky, Jacksonville State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Western Kentucky54c36,312$19,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,730.9919362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jacksonville State45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,00052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jacksonville State44c17,121$7,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,522.193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jacksonville State45c7,350$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,020.9626244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Western Kentucky53c6,125$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Western Kentucky56c5,675$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,17829249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Western Kentucky54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jacksonville State47c4,714$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.5915451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville State73c4,697$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.3619842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Kentucky56c3,610$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.3952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Western Kentucky56c3,333$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.484847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jacksonville State45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6507133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Jacksonville State44c2,992$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.563056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Western Kentucky26c2,856$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.6786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Jacksonville State51c1,942$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.318544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jacksonville State45c1,864$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.0924348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Jacksonville State45c1,800$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.7634529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Western Kentucky56c1,444$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.4949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Western Kentucky38c1,439$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.5962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Western Kentucky55c1,329$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73165945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Western Kentucky55c1,228$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.731,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Kentucky55c1,131$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4948546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Jacksonville State75c1,035$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Western Kentucky64c880$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Western Kentucky56c807.82$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5150358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Western Kentucky43c660$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Western Kentucky51c660$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.623751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bf…5592backed Jacksonville State64c643.7$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Western Kentucky52c572$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4417361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Western Kentucky54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702119%4 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-63.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Kentucky40c496.74$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0755350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jacksonville State44c374.86$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.928752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Jacksonville State64c367$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.512450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Western Kentucky55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Western Kentucky55c342.78$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.447642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ec…65efbacked Western Kentucky56c333.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8298…634abacked Jacksonville State45c329.4$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Western Kentucky63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Western Kentucky55c308.61$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0328440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Jacksonville State45c306.67$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.674447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jacksonville State45c283$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6520757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Western Kentucky36c281$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.161770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jacksonville State48c270$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.468440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jacksonville State52c225.63$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2126939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Jacksonville State36c201$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.254358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Western Kentucky56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Jacksonville State45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1107445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…3f81backed Western Kentucky44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jacksonville State47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State49c183$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9357144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Western Kentucky56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Western Kentucky56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State46c177.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Kentucky57c173$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6120553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville State60c168$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6421538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068f…4594backed Western Kentucky54c162.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf87…a5a9backed Jacksonville State61c160.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Western Kentucky52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville State47c138.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jacksonville State49c136.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8629351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Western Kentucky51c131$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0c…31ffbacked Jacksonville State45c123$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jacksonville State47c121$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3940244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Jacksonville State47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Western Kentucky40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Jacksonville State48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a14…fddabacked Jacksonville State60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Western Kentucky55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jacksonville State45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5510242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Western Kentucky53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5314055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9bb…80c0backed Jacksonville State70c81.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Western Kentucky56c79.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Kentucky22c76.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5199…4011backed Western Kentucky56c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Western Kentucky39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6756backed Jacksonville State45c60.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x020b…ddfabacked Western Kentucky74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0601…3c86backed Jacksonville State45c58.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…c6d0backed Jacksonville State45c56.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Western Kentucky61c56.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5117443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437d…c54bbacked Jacksonville State47c54.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x530b…6c30backed Western Kentucky54c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe876…6aeabacked Jacksonville State45c52.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…7a3abacked Jacksonville State47c52.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…55b1backed Jacksonville State39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57a…dac4backed Western Kentucky56c51.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa67…2bd9backed Western Kentucky56c51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Western Kentucky55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.386241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Jacksonville State76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jacksonville State44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2828032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Jacksonville State45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Western Kentucky55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.43751.4%19 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…300cbacked Western Kentucky55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2304…eb3cbacked Jacksonville State45c49.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87cf…a88ebacked Western Kentucky56c49.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Jacksonville State45c49.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.184247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab70…9d17backed Western Kentucky54c48.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01bf…d861backed Western Kentucky54c47.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd58…f0d4backed Western Kentucky56c47.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…dddfbacked Western Kentucky54c44.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.