Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e6b4ab2ecb5900aecbf9dee2ef5dc3a392155ed65c89eaf84ddb3e25b06152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 47c | 34,168$16,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,108.91 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 53c | 30,923$16,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,389.4 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 29,934$13,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,164.36 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 3,264$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 2,898$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.55 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 2,060$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 812.95$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.13 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 632.04$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 40c | 568.4$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 373.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 53c | 355.86$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 331.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 53c | 276$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 20c | 245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 216.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 171$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 23c | 169.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 143.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 38c | 133.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 93.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 52c | 90.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked No | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Yes | 53c | 79.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 46c | 74.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Yes | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 40c | 57.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 48c | 56.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 24c | 55.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…0b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…7824backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…f38cbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcb…ad19backed No | 52c | 28.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 27.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 27.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…ddfabacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-25?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.