Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa959ecc7dcbc6847c6c2688bbad523c93aa9bb391b8b0a7e75e4bbd370ea42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 72c | 40,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 28c | 39,387$11,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,358.78 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 2,531$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.98 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 1,187$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.42 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 28c | 968.83$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.27 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 660.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 392$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.13 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 28c | 266.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.41 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 28c | 250.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed No | 29c | 249.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 158.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 73c | 117.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 29c | 112$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 28c | 101.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 73c | 100.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…5f8ebacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 44.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 74c | 42.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Yes | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…ddfabacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed Yes | 72c | 20.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…9cdfbacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.