TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d92…5f8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3164.5%20 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick77cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$4.99
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.96
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Florida International vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Troy vs. Old Dominionbacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Torpedobacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Lada Togliattibacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15.33
Valorant: DRX vs SLT (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25.5%+$7.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.