TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcccc…dbddbacked Virtus.pro19c11,681$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.0819943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed Virtus.pro20c5,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7c…832dbacked Virtus.pro20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d5…1210backed Virtus.pro20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Team Yandex80c2,580$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5168950.6%45 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fc7…0456backed Virtus.pro20c2,200$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0e…995cbacked Team Yandex80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Team Yandex79c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41012868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Virtus.pro20c1,809$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8425547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb6…3804backed Team Yandex80c1,800$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685f…c82fbacked Team Yandex80c1,600$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28539936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0845…e9ebbacked Team Yandex80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f86…4b75backed Team Yandex80c1,400$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…7713backed Team Yandex80c1,400$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6865…b323backed Team Yandex80c1,300$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x830b…acc2backed Team Yandex80c1,300$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e7…c5c9backed Team Yandex80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro19c1,113$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…97b5backed Team Yandex80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc491…61f7backed Team Yandex80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Virtus.pro22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Virtus.pro22c978.24$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3920827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Virtus.pro20c939.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5922033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Virtus.pro19c910.75$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.046854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Virtus.pro20c494.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006240.3%25 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14fe…99e4backed Virtus.pro20c492$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…4682backed Virtus.pro20c488$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Virtus.pro11c427.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.897846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Virtus.pro17c381.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9518452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Virtus.pro19c363.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.154436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Virtus.pro21c317.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0411947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Team Yandex80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Team Yandex79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc64…d596backed Virtus.pro24c281.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.231414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-62.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Team Yandex78c260$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.26068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Virtus.pro17c250.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.63205%1 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Team Yandex80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Team Yandex80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab6…07eabacked Team Yandex80c249$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…42cebacked Virtus.pro16c248$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3f…09e1backed Team Yandex80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+134.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb703…fdb2backed Team Yandex80c243$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa08a…de5bbacked Team Yandex80c241$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex78c205.62$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1362841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro11c183.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Virtus.pro19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298155.6%45 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Virtus.pro26c152.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…d839backed Team Yandex80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8bf7backed Virtus.pro20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro17c143.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Team Yandex80c142.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.775062%31 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team Yandex79c140$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.814948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Team Yandex80c128$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7214537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Team Yandex80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Team Yandex80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Team Yandex80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204045%18 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Team Yandex80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202080%16 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Team Yandex80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4365…e6d8backed Virtus.pro19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1486949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8913…541cbacked Team Yandex80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Virtus.pro21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Virtus.pro22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202619.2%5 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Team Yandex80c81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28035%28 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc98…809fbacked Team Yandex80c79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Team Yandex80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Virtus.pro15c70.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Team Yandex80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex75c69.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.482,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a3…48febacked Team Yandex79c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.445100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b99…eda5backed Team Yandex80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4283…b5dabacked Team Yandex80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54678.3%36 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98f9…2fc1backed Virtus.pro21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Team Yandex80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Virtus.pro20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Team Yandex80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101747.1%8 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick70cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Team Yandex80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105777.2%44 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63e1…612abacked Team Yandex79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Team Yandex79c44.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.155972.9%43 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Team Yandex80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58229.3%24 W · 58 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe31b…e34dbacked Team Yandex80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Team Yandex80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.5wins+0.24per pick69cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Team Yandex80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa092…f64ebacked Team Yandex78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.520361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked Team Yandex80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3c…e6cabacked Team Yandex79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab4…564fbacked Team Yandex79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b4…b157backed Team Yandex80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6a22backed Team Yandex80c12.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked Team Yandex80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.515167.5%102 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…5f8ebacked Team Yandex80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x352e…2241backed Team Yandex80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.