Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c8596839a406b655d38886aa5a8c42709e1e387ff3a9f34d1c467c41987964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 9,333$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.01 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 7,140$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,881$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.95 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,758$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Yandex | 75c | 1,834$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.45 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 1,750$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.51 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 1,593$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.13 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,307$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 991.14$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.74 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Team Yandex | 72c | 750$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 749.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Yandex | 70c | 718.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 640$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 554.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Yandex | 76c | 420.36$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Yandex | 70c | 357.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Team Yandex | 77c | 273.37$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 258.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Team Yandex | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Yandex | 70c | 235.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 159.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 140.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Team Yandex | 80c | 139.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 98.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 81.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…8193backed Team Yandex | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Yandex | 68c | 70.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 56.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Yandex | 73c | 54.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Team Yandex | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Yandex | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 35.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Team Yandex | 70c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Team Yandex | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…d330backed Team Yandex | 75c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.