CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs NRG (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52ae6d94ea81acd0d2b49a4ef8a01107f61e89aa687061c6f2e455ac64c7c37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof SkinRave, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SkinRave | 0c | 4,548$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NRG | 79c | 1,840$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked NRG | 76c | 1,354$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed SkinRave | 24c | 1,200$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.39 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed SkinRave | 21c | 840.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed SkinRave | 9c | 802.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed SkinRave | 22c | 643.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SkinRave | 6c | 544.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed SkinRave | 7c | 461.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked SkinRave | 25c | 398.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SkinRave | 12c | 305.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…1aa5backed SkinRave | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed NRG | 78c | 143.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked NRG | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…89c1backed NRG | 79c | 117.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed SkinRave | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed NRG | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked NRG | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed NRG | 79c | 52.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…a71abacked NRG | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…8ab6backed NRG | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed NRG | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…3d04backed NRG | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcde…2444backed NRG | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…3a8ebacked NRG | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed NRG | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…0b1bbacked NRG | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed NRG | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…5f8ebacked NRG | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs NRG (BO5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.