TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof paiN Gaming, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd161…4cc1backed paiN Gaming3c6,837$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1380443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION76c5,673$4,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.6855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed paiN Gaming18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90080%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN Gaming1c3,787$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.476169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming20c3,517$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.3381029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN Gaming19c3,386$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.7538049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming10c2,878$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.571,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed paiN Gaming19c1,513$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.566346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed paiN Gaming19c973.49$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2256848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION78c866.61$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2854556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed paiN Gaming14c860$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.431245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed paiN Gaming9c848.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.989128.6%26 W · 65 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming20c847.12$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1460542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed paiN Gaming5c805$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.259533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed paiN Gaming24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14460552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming20c541$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.091,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked PARIVISION78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.824652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked paiN Gaming4c500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22303.3%1 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed paiN Gaming23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed paiN Gaming10c499.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19dc…4b3fbacked PARIVISION76c455$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed paiN Gaming24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked paiN Gaming24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed paiN Gaming17c400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8223050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed paiN Gaming7c368.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0810134.7%35 W · 66 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed paiN Gaming20c367.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.298934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c2…3c0abacked paiN Gaming12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed PARIVISION79c330.12$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3222945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed paiN Gaming20c326.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.315244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6988166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming22c295.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.840047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7730…df57backed paiN Gaming11c294.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.264856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed paiN Gaming23c258.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9851140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed paiN Gaming19c256.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1797142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f5…f7c9backed paiN Gaming21c251.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.761127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed paiN Gaming24c249.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7513636%49 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed paiN Gaming22c246.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.442931%9 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed paiN Gaming21c243.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed paiN Gaming13c226.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4691553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked paiN Gaming7c214.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed paiN Gaming14c206.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked paiN Gaming18c200.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed paiN Gaming9c198.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8910759.8%64 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed PARIVISION80c172$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.797665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a7a…ee61backed PARIVISION75c149.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked PARIVISION80c137.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked paiN Gaming12c129.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1215450%77 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION78c128.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4534667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04e…3550backed PARIVISION80c125.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+147.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked PARIVISION80c124.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.97156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-91.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fe9…987ebacked paiN Gaming20c120.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed PARIVISION76c113.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.352864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857e…50adbacked paiN Gaming23c108.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed PARIVISION79c108$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.185853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked PARIVISION78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked paiN Gaming20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked PARIVISION79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.57247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked PARIVISION76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19ad…34debacked PARIVISION79c99.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc0…5f47backed paiN Gaming20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked PARIVISION78c81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.455549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed paiN Gaming15c80.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0129550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed paiN Gaming13c79.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.879343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed PARIVISION77c78.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked paiN Gaming18c68.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed PARIVISION79c66.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed paiN Gaming20c65.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.024436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed8…897bbacked paiN Gaming25c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1241…c496backed PARIVISION80c61.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming23c58.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf45a…854bbacked paiN Gaming20c56.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.381435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed paiN Gaming30c51.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.155448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed paiN Gaming20c50.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked PARIVISION79c50.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked paiN Gaming20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked PARIVISION80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick77cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed PARIVISION80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed PARIVISION80c38.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6734152.2%178 W · 163 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd8…ff13backed PARIVISION78c32.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d2…3c94backed PARIVISION77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…19cdbacked PARIVISION79c29.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.113100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked PARIVISION70c26.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.079352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2e7…1f75backed PARIVISION77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x363d…9af7backed PARIVISION80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed PARIVISION80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed PARIVISION79c23.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.933351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed PARIVISION75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.753158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…5f8ebacked PARIVISION80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a0…3e76backed PARIVISION80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.