TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1433…19cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.05
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.05
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.69
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.64
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$15.95
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked SportsBetExpert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$11.38
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+39.2%+$9.66
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.9%+$5.51
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.4%+$9.01
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.85
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.67
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29%+$6.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.05
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.34
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.