TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$958,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,024,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche64c134,384$86,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,378.1767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Kings36c85,119$30,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,641.8241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Avalanche62c59,205$36,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,497.8848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kings38c55,966$21,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,266.9614650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche60c41,153$24,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,382.461,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche63c34,901$21,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,913.541,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kings40c34,175$13,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,777.2819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings36c30,051$10,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,832.8156152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings40c20,246$8,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,098.2862951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings37c18,912$6,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,997.6148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings38c18,501$7,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,036.2551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Avalanche65c14,965$9,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,231.374553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.9632946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche64c12,440$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.4740356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings31c12,410$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,796.6889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche61c12,379$7,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.9115054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche62c11,810$7,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.521,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Avalanche62c11,226$6,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.9343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings38c10,816$4,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.751,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings39c10,161$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.961,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings38c8,378$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.6461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Avalanche62c8,100$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0785945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche80c8,100$6,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.8385250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Avalanche60c8,059$4,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings38c8,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bca…126ebacked Avalanche62c7,128$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Kings43c7,024$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.62564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings37c6,993$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.7252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings34c6,310$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.4899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Avalanche63c6,158$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.152365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Avalanche61c6,113$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Kings38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.994440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Kings41c5,605$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.1814553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche61c5,506$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.3475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Kings40c5,418$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche62c5,223$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.7486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings25c5,109$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.4440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90021755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Kings39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9813948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche62c4,470$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.72,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings37c4,243$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Kings37c4,192$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.033661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings35c4,155$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.5295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings36c4,117$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.232,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Avalanche60c4,009$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Kings37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9711553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9622747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Kings40c3,618$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings38c3,401$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8114654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Kings36c3,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche60c3,000$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.9633652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Kings41c2,927$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings37c2,913$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.8618344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…71dfbacked Kings38c2,900$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f0…bf79backed Avalanche62c2,900$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Kings37c2,895$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.3516447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kings38c2,809$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.7834538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Avalanche62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3518258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kings38c2,419$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.586549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Avalanche62c2,409$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.027755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Avalanche62c2,258$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.068748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings36c2,236$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.7427739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Kings39c2,174$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.229141.8%38 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings36c1,986$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.631,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Avalanche60c1,832$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.974067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings23c1,773$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Kings23c1,702$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Kings36c1,653$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.711250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Avalanche61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Avalanche62c1,600$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60822946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe499…d5c2backed Avalanche62c1,560$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Avalanche74c1,506$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.461752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Kings36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche62c1,482$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.0639344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings37c1,394$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.7884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Kings38c1,356$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.869442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Kings38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Kings38c1,300$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc677…414bbacked Kings4c1,260$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings29c1,252$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0743742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche61c1,236$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Avalanche62c1,216$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.363562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9056…9754backed Avalanche76c1,206$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.445100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Kings35c1,200$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42427150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02e7…c57ebacked Kings38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c95…44efbacked Avalanche62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4561040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9535…b773backed Kings38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x349c…6463backed Kings38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d03…152fbacked Kings38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8751…bb55backed Avalanche62c1,195$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+73.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51dd…589fbacked Kings38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5841…ac9abacked Avalanche62c1,195$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+62.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba6a…7e53backed Avalanche62c1,195$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdc…e850backed Kings38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db2…f51cbacked Avalanche62c1,195$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.