NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe4fbf21e34322b37a53ca35facf69bf192907341ea2d11ef94da1424a288ea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 2,456$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.14 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 2,017$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.87 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 43c | 2,009$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.08 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 1,756$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 1,311$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.59 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 66c | 1,179$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Over | 51c | 981.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 33c | 840$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 65c | 752.28$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 44c | 648.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 53c | 599.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 39c | 584.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 56c | 580$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.62 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 61c | 488.75$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 45c | 382.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 74c | 339.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 307.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 303.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +1,341.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 283.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 277.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 44c | 264$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 50c | 253.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 253.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 7c | 215.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +971.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 34c | 209.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Over | 57c | 192.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…e19abacked Under | 55c | 109.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 108.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Under | 35c | 100.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 62c | 95.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 88.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 58c | 74.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Over | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 47.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 50c | 47.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 73c | 38.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 47c | 30.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 45c | 28.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 43c | 26.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Over | 63c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. KingsAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.