NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e26c5cf83c60030112f1a78a6ac80a134fc785ef591e6b9471e395854043d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $715,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 487,430$223,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,073.82 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 55c | 193,436$105,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,880.49 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 53,615$28,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,662.8 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 17,175$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900.5 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 11,302$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 54c | 4,078$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.02 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.95 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 54c | 1,880$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 50c | 1,680$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.4 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Under | 52c | 962.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Under | 38c | 912.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 56c | 891.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Under | 31c | 822.77$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +295.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 748.45$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.94 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 643.62$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.78 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 44c | 585.12$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Under | 55c | 515.28$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 52c | 481.81$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 56c | 423.95$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…5c02backed Over | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 55c | 387.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 54c | 380.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 46c | 380.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 58c | 241.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 54c | 230$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 56c | 226.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Under | 56c | 220.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Under | 57c | 210.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 56c | 189.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…2767backed Under | 55c | 169.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…b7ddbacked Under | 47c | 160.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 134.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 40c | 131.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 128.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 61c | 121$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 118.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 118.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 45c | 117.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 97.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 89.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…be96backed Under | 56c | 86.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 60c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 50c | 69.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 45c | 67.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2f…34b0backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 50c | 54.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Over | 45c | 52.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 31c | 50.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 67c | 43.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 44c | 41.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 46c | 38.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 37.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…01aebacked Over | 45c | 31.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…0f24backed Over | 49c | 30.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…5ed6backed Under | 56c | 30.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 56c | 26.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…5e8abacked Under | 65c | 21.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…8d3cbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. KingsAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.