NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce78cc3de3f40dec9d74acd69ded8ef969b89a79846a8cdf045cf0deeecd2056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Avalanche | 41c | 22,950$9,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,521.44 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 59c | 13,123$7,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,681.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 41c | 7,961$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.84 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 59c | 4,784$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.33 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Kings | 18c | 4,036$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.71 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Kings | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 59c | 3,900$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Avalanche | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Kings | 16c | 3,333$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 78c | 2,623$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.95 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Avalanche | 45c | 2,234$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.54 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 59c | 2,198$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.9 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche | 79c | 2,041$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.97 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 59c | 1,950$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.49 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings | 60c | 1,677$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.2 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 59c | 848.31$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.35 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 55c | 834.65$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.93 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Avalanche | 43c | 710$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 78c | 650.14$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Kings | 21c | 647.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Kings | 79c | 634.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kings | 59c | 630.19$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.12 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…126ebacked Avalanche | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Avalanche | 38c | 546.34$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 48c | 479.7$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Kings | 62c | 460.11$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings | 67c | 368.47$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Avalanche | 41c | 341.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Kings | 62c | 319.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kings | 69c | 284.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 31c | 277$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.86 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kings | 63c | 265.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Avalanche | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Kings | 67c | 202.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Avalanche | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Kings | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Avalanche | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Kings | 64c | 188.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Kings | 79c | 185.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Avalanche | 41c | 172.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Avalanche | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…7516backed Kings | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kings | 52c | 154.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Avalanche | 57c | 139$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Avalanche | 39c | 134.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Avalanche | 45c | 132.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kings | 44c | 128.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 63c | 127.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Kings | 40c | 123.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked Kings | 16c | 122.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Avalanche | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kings | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Kings | 63c | 107.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Avalanche | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kings | 61c | 101.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 59c | 99.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Avalanche | 42c | 98.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Avalanche | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Avalanche | 41c | 85.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Avalanche | 41c | 85.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 79c | 81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 58c | 72.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Avalanche | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Avalanche | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Avalanche | 29c | 69.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Avalanche | 42c | 68.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Avalanche | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Avalanche | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Kings | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Kings | 41c | 52.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Kings | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Kings | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Kings | 57c | 49.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Avalanche | 39c | 49.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Kings | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kings | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…d9febacked Avalanche | 41c | 46.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Avalanche | 43c | 46.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206f…ee3dbacked Kings | 58c | 43.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Kings | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…fd00backed Avalanche | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kings | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Kings | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kings | 59c | 28.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Kings | 45c | 26.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Avalanche | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Avalanche | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kings | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked Kings | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 58c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Kings | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. KingsAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.