CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d2bd46fc7e3b7ad72371250c5154d1138ca2725b68523d2c5f8a22d27a5f5f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof Fake do Biru, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…6f8fbacked largadosypelados | 49c | 10,100$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked largadosypelados | 50c | 8,574$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…1f59backed largadosypelados | 49c | 8,400$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d750backed largadosypelados | 49c | 5,650$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Fake do Biru | 44c | 2,526$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.71 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fake do Biru | 26c | 1,810$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.48 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed largadosypelados | 23c | 1,412$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.59 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 850.33$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.52 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fake do Biru | 51c | 654$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…19cdbacked Fake do Biru | 5c | 572.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Fake do Biru | 49c | 496$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked largadosypelados | 71c | 387.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed largadosypelados | 50c | 352.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…8e71backed largadosypelados | 75c | 288.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Fake do Biru | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 220.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 29c | 186.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 162.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 151.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed largadosypelados | 26c | 151.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Fake do Biru | 75c | 132.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…4189backed Fake do Biru | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Fake do Biru | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 96.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed largadosypelados | 38c | 75.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…184abacked Fake do Biru | 69c | 63.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 57.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Fake do Biru | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed largadosypelados | 48c | 50.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Fake do Biru | 67c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked largadosypelados | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked largadosypelados | 41c | 48.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed largadosypelados | 25c | 40.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 51 | 78.4%40 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 38.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…ff13backed Fake do Biru | 61c | 32.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…eae3backed largadosypelados | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 25.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed largadosypelados | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…c351backed largadosypelados | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.