CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fdb36e84b4e73d7a0c5be9e9b2f1bbc6244046e43e58ed744bce47ff3f1a49e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof Fake do Biru, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 1,118$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.44 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed largadosypelados | 41c | 982.89$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked largadosypelados | 61c | 777.52$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 215.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked largadosypelados | 22c | 202.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 109.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Fake do Biru | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked Fake do Biru | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.