TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,199,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,199,574 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over49c474,352$234,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234,716.2867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over51c375,003$192,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,190.2220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under50c213,588$105,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,647.513844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under53c170,022$90,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,559.0640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c154,541$77,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,960.81,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c90,000$45,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,10039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under51c45,000$22,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,0503056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c41,924$20,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,066.4651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under50c39,606$19,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,8036147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24a…d9fabacked Over0c23,700$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c22,981$11,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,663.952,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c18,663$9,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,039.9836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c12,974$6,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,560.3759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7601855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under51c9,500$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,64033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under50c6,151$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.14060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c6,113$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.532,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c5,962$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.5340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under50c5,940$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97013147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c4,728$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.385050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over50c4,496$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.9541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under52c4,327$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.832,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c3,382$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.882,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c2,428$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.2883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under51c2,161$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.77671.1%54 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under49c2,150$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.53345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c2,100$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.2891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c2,077$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.9684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c2,021$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.2837754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Over51c1,960$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.62147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under51c1,884$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.2691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c1,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.9932650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7007054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Under47c1,394$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.8113749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c1,172$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,170$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.111,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under51c1,102$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9826551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Under49c1,003$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.469752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under49c697$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.473161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under51c630$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.297955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c623.71$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.332,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under50c613$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30611250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over52c596.15$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2411045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Over50c564.96$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4827652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Over3c510$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5632653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under50c475.81$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7312733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under50c428.53$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.273135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under50c423$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.53850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over50c402.83$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.427352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2047663.2%48 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Under51c385.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.487363%46 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over52c384.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.973751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c380.46$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4838551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under58c360.47$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Under51c357.6$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.596857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Under50c342$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1713655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under49c326.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.767857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.126850%34 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under51c293.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8310047%47 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over51c284.97$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9512335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Over50c282.48$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4114152.5%74 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c267$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under49c261.04$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.448138.3%31 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1d9…93d0backed Over51c256.71$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Over49c241.15$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.073336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under51c230.12$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.327635.5%27 W · 49 L-12.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3df4…9723backed Under50c225.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over49c221.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7614353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under50c211.58$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.793551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Under71c211.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Under43c204.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc53…2bb7backed Over28c204.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Under51c196.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb298…ef07backed Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Under49c173.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.732846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under45c173.57$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7712947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over48c173.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.621,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over65c172.15$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3538551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under50c171$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.57152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under50c171$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.57853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under50c133.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.026051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over52c130.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.18160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c112.64$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4522352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.