NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9cb1685d1fe1996f7a7588ab2c96cce49da2c5e626ce8a5ecf2a24861de6f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,679 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x772e…c442backed Over | 31c | 3,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 1,172$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.85 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 70c | 836.28$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 727.25$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 709$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 4c | 530$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…e406backed Over | 29c | 419$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3150…6070backed Over | 29c | 412$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb054…aea4backed Over | 29c | 401$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…03e7backed Over | 29c | 297$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…ced4backed Under | 71c | 247$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…3c06backed Under | 71c | 209$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…614cbacked Under | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…9d55backed Under | 71c | 188$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 28c | 186.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…b98ebacked Under | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…2c64backed Under | 71c | 167$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…c5cfbacked Under | 72c | 159$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…c05fbacked Under | 71c | 153$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…1bb0backed Under | 72c | 147$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…8cc0backed Under | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…dfc2backed Over | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…c92fbacked Over | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…de71backed Over | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 24c | 43.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 36c | 36.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 25.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 65c | 22.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 77c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5this page
- Bruins vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.