NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb537caf865ae9824daedc2b586e14b6174aa01aadaf0a81edceae3d3813b9563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Canadiens, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Bruins | 64c | 13,000$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.98 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…532cbacked Canadiens | 36c | 9,977$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Bruins | 63c | 2,412$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.07 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bruins | 64c | 2,015$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.49 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,674$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.49 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…b126backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,482$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,337$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Canadiens | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Canadiens | 37c | 784.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bruins | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruins | 62c | 379.32$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Canadiens | 38c | 372.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens | 36c | 305.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 63c | 303.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…8b3dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Canadiens | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Canadiens | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Canadiens | 36c | 205.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Canadiens | 35c | 190.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Canadiens | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Canadiens | 36c | 185.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 78c | 172.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Bruins | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 63c | 131.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bruins | 64c | 125.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Bruins | 65c | 107.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bruins | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Canadiens | 36c | 96.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 94.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bruins | 63c | 85.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Canadiens | 36c | 84.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bruins | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 68c | 79.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Canadiens | 37c | 77.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…093bbacked Canadiens | 38c | 75.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Canadiens | 37c | 71.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canadiens | 36c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Canadiens | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bruins | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canadiens | 21c | 55.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Canadiens | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Canadiens | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Bruins | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Bruins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Bruins | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 181 | 50.8%92 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Canadiens | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bruins | 64c | 34.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bruins | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Bruins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Bruins | 65c | 29.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Canadiens | 37c | 29.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Canadiens | 38c | 26.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Bruins | 64c | 21.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…b627backed Bruins | 63c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Bruins | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…60ecbacked Bruins | 63c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.