NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05dd36beda890f11d01eaef6afae62c80d014b37974dc3922ebec7997b98167d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,506 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 60c | 1,135$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.96 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 60c | 811.18$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 51c | 803.15$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 40c | 787$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.2 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 459.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 61c | 420.25$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 39c | 360$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 40c | 286.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 42c | 273.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 250.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 226.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 60c | 225$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 182.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Over | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 28c | 120$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 58c | 84.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 37c | 79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 71.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 67c | 47.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 56c | 37.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 23.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 55c | 20.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.