TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,061,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,116,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 782 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae87…c735backed No45c188,023$85,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,582.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No43c76,005$32,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,322.6310443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes57c70,175$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0003531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No46c63,747$29,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,423.573751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes56c60,171$33,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,695.5712848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c57,601$25,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,938.6466446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c55,583$30,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,566.7260041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c51,985$23,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,148.122,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No45c32,702$14,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,147.958938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes32c30,995$10,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,047.827146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes56c20,013$11,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes43c19,204$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,30020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c18,000$9,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,775.8628643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes41c17,019$6,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,904.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No44c15,480$6,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,668.83737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes54c15,190$8,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,202.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc8…0fa2backed No44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.94850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+94.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No45c13,686$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,529.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+73.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No45c11,874$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,472.1226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No46c10,825$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,853.774346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes55c10,361$5,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,646.961764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No44c10,198$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,710.996451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No44c9,912$4,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.53743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d39…b8c6backed Yes54c9,516$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No44c9,277$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,195.123548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c7,746$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.5316144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes54c7,641$4,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,131.7512344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No46c7,600$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes57c6,986$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.528647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes54c6,600$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5642552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c5,930$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.2829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1287…ca08backed Yes27c5,643$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes55c5,333$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9333652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes55c5,288$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.182737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes55c5,174$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.6910736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed Yes56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.998836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.995550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes40c4,785$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.2610237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes56c4,600$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5764641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes54c4,536$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.1729350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…a66abacked Yes55c4,438$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes57c4,427$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.7212644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No44c4,425$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.963447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes15c4,048$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.33348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.8813548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No45c3,979$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.291450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes56c3,901$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Yes51c3,855$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No46c3,703$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.788243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Yes56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes12c3,500$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.1214732.7%48 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c3,361$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.591,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes54c3,261$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.189043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa579…99edbacked No46c3,112$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c3,109$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.8912352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.971573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes53c2,922$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5503554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes5c2,901$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.041520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8394…b722backed Yes54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No44c2,760$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.625145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No45c2,759$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.25347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes54c2,609$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4092821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No45c2,436$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.562236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes54c2,342$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.121850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6cb…9e03backed Yes50c2,160$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c2,138$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.644933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd980…4645backed No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked Yes56c2,066$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.712454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked No49c2,033$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.291586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+52%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes51c2,003$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02910628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1005046%23 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes34c1,918$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No44c1,773$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No45c1,771$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.0640143.4%174 W · 227 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b4…2607backed Yes56c1,750$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Yes56c1,645$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes54c1,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.992352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes55c1,454$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.73839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes53c1,452$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.526659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes57c1,408$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes55c1,365$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.672850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes44c1,356$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006450%32 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc20…c5dbbacked Yes54c1,344$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No47c1,330$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.639341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes23c1,305$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7216036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Yes56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Yes48c1,242$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+64.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes57c1,228$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.